I will go by conferences for teams that are still eligible for a playoff opportunity. Nothing is guaranteed but everything changes in five weeks. Here’s the scoop: Cincinnati’s not promised a playoff spot. The Big 12 will strongly have Oklahoma representing the conference in the playoffs more than Oklahoma State and Baylor. Wake Forest has a lot to prove as an ACC team that’s not Clemson. The Big Ten WILL cannibalize themselves. Notre Dame is technically hogging the spots in the Top 10. Oregon could break the Pac-12 curse if they win out and the win at Ohio State will hold up. Finally, the SEC West may not have Alabama as the official winner until after the Iron Bowl unless Auburn loses prior and A&M loses again. Here are the scenarios for eligible teams in the Top 25.

AAC

CINCINNATI (8-0)

They simply win out. They’ll get in unless Alabama wins the SEC Championship, Oregon wins out, Michigan State wins out or a 1-loss Big Ten team wins out convincingly, and Oklahoma and/or Wake Forest wins out convincingly.

ACC

WAKE FOREST (8-0)

They win out and may convince the committee with an undefeated regular season. May need Pitt to stay in the Top 25 for a little help before ACC Championship game and may need teams in front to lose.

BIG TEN

MICHIGAN STATE (8-0)

Win out and they’re in the playoffs.

OHIO STATE (7-1)

Win out and they’re likely in, but must convince committee they’re better than Oregon despite the loss to them.

MICHIGAN (7-1)

Needs a Michigan State loss, win out, and they’re likely in the playoffs.

BIG 12

OKLAHOMA (9-0)

Win out and win out convincingly to get in.

OKLAHOMA STATE (7-1)

Win out and hope teams in front lose more games.

BAYLOR (7-1)

Win out and hope teams in front lose more games.

FBS INDEPENDENT

NOTRE DAME (7-1)

Win out and hope the teams in front lose more games.

PAC-12

OREGON (7-1)

Win out and play convincingly better than the teams the could likely jump them.

SEC

GEORGIA (8-0)

They stay undefeated up until the SEC Championship game. They are in even if they lose to Alabama or another SEC West opponent.

ALABAMA (7-1)

They must win out and defeat Georgia in the SEC Championship to get into the playoffs again.

AUBURN (6-2)

They control their own destiny. Win out, win the SEC Championship and they are in. Something they came up short on last time in the 2017 SEC Championship as a 2-loss team.

TEXAS A&M (6-2)

Must win out, need an Alabama and Mississippi State loss, and win the SEC Championship. That means defeating Auburn this weekend and rooting for them to defeat those two.